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Flemington tips: Lighthouse to guide punters

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BEST BETLIGHTHOUSE (Race 8, No.9)Lighthouse has been a great asset for punters since arriving in Australia and there’s no reason she can’t win again with only 54kg on Saturday.VALUE BETUNIQUE ARTIST (Race 6, No.14)Unique Artist was sound when resuming at Sandown but will thrive over the 2000m at Flemington second-up. She’s well over the odds.EARLY QUADDIE4, 6, 8, 12, 14/3, 4, 7, 9, 15, 16/2, 3, 7/2, 3$100 flexi for 55.55 per centBIG62, 3, 7/2, 3/2, 3, 6, 13, 14/1, 2, 9/4, 8/2, 10, 13, 20$100 flexi for 13.88 per centQUADDIERace 6: 2, 3, 6, 13, 14Race 7: 1, 2, 9Race 8: 4, 8Race 9: 2, 10, 13, 20$100 flexi for 83.3 per centRACE 1 (12:35PM): NEW YEAR SPRINT (1000m)The two-year-olds will start the 2022 racing year over 1000m. LATIZIA (6) has moved well in two Cranbourne jumpouts and looks well educated. LAMBDA (5) showed good natural speed in her Flemington jumpout around a bend and could run well fresh. KIN (1) was solid on debut down the straight while that experience will help her and stablemate VA VIA (2)SUGGESTED BET: Small win bet Latizia. TAB MARKET MOVER: Kin $3 – $2.70.RACE 2 (1:10PM): FIELDS OF OMAGH PLATE (1400m)Difficult Benchmark 70 contest for mares but MRS SIPPY (6) has been consistent without winning this time in and drops back to mares’ grade here. SWEET KAROLINA (4) was a strong first-up winner at The Valley and can measure up to this despite the tough draw. MISS VERBIER (14) jumped out well before her debut win and could continue to improve. WAY TO GO PAULA (12) wasn’t disgraced over this course last time and could improve sharply with blinkers first time.SUGGESTED BET: Mrs Sippy each-way.TAB MARKET MOVER: Mrs Sippy $8.50 – $6.RACE 3 (1:45PM): VICTORIAN JOCKEYS’ ASSOCIATION TROPHY (1600m)A big field to tackle another Benchmark 70 event in which MAID OF IRON (16) can perform well after her strong win over 2040m at The Valley last time. The drop in trip shouldn’t worry her too much. VARDANI (7) has drawn awkwardly but has continued to improve with every run this time in. NEW CHOICE (4) raced handy and tired at Ballarat but has been freshened and drops in class. DIRTY DEEDS (3) has drawn poorly but is going well enough to threaten here.SUGGESTED BET: Maid Of Iron each-way.TAB MARKET MOVER: Unanimous $5.50 – $4.80.RACE 4 (2:20PM): AUSTRALIAN TRAINERS’ ASSOCIATION PLATE (1100m)Some smart three-year-old sprinters clash here but going with CLEMENCEAU (3) after his impressive win at The Valley. He’ll be up near the speed and has a smart turn of foot. SQUID GAME (2) is the main danger to the favourite after two excellent wins to start his career. VERMENTINO (7) was impressive on debut and will be better for that experience. STAR SPIRIT (10) showed ability in her maiden preparation and could fill a placing first-up.SUGGESTED BET: Clemenceau to win.TAB MARKET MOVER: Squid Game $5 – $4.80.RACE 5 (3PM): HENRY BYRON MOORE HANDICAP (1600m)This race sets up perfectly for BERMADEZ (2) so it’s no surprise to see him so short in the market. He was far disgraced when not far away behind the classy Lighthouse at Flemington last time out and will find this easier. PLAYOFFS (3) resumes here and has won a couple over this distance. HIGH ‘N’ DRY (4) was a good winner with only 52kg last start and is worth thought again. DESERT ICON (1) was OK at his Australian debut and will be suited at 1600m.SUGGESTED BET: Bermadez to win.TAB MARKET MOVER: Bermadez $2.30 – $2.15.RACE 6 (3:40PM): GEORGE WATSON HANDICAP (2000m)An open 2000m race starts Saturday’s quaddie but UNIQUE ARTIST (14) could be the value runner of the race. She made ground when resuming at Sandown and impressed over the Flemington 2000m course last time in. LA SPEZIA (13) is racing in terrific fashion this time in and wasn’t far away over this trip at The Valley. CURLY BURGIN (6) made the most of a good tempo to score at The Valley and will be running on again. CONVICT SAM (3) has won his last two starts at Sandown and is ready for this trip.SUGGESTED BET: Unique Artist each-way.TAB MARKET MOVER: Convict Sam $7.50 – $6.50.RACE 7 (4:20PM): LISTED BAGOT HANDICAP (1800M)SMOKIN’ ROMANS (2) impressed yet again when winning the Pakenham Cup and should get every chance to see out the 2800m with Jamie Kah aboard from barrier one. GOOD IDEA (1) is racing consistently and meets the top pick on better weight terms here. TIGERTIGER (9) steps up in class but is flying and gets 6kg off the top two. HIGH EMOCEAN (6) was honest when resuming here and will be much fitter for that.SUGGESTED BET: Smokin’ Romans to win.TAB MARKET MOVER: Tigertiger $31 – $17.RACE 8 (5PM): LISTED CHESTER MANIFOLD STAKES (1100m)LIGHTHOUSE (9) continues to get the job done for punters and is capable of measuring up to this level on Saturday. She only has 54kg and was Grade 3-placed in the US. BLAZEJOWSKI (4) is always thereabouts in this type of race and should get every chance from barrier three. SECOND SLIP (8) won well at Flemington last start and drawn perfectly. CROSSHAVEN (3) has a good record over this course and will go into this race on the fresh side.SUGGESTED BET: Lighthouse to win. TAB MARKET MOVER: Lighthouse $3.20 – $2.40.RACE 9 (5:40PM): SANTA ANA LANE SPRINT (1200m)A big field will charge down the straight in the last, but FUNDRAISER (2) could be the way to go in the get-out stakes. His 1200m record is terrific and always goes well first-up. VESPERTINE (20) charged home first-up and can go one better with added fitness. JAPERY (13) has a solid record down the straight and could show up fresh. PIONEER RIVER (10) broke through over this trip last time out and could measure up to this harder race.SUGGESTED BET: Fundraiser each-way.TAB MARKET MOVER: Free To Move $51 – $34.NICK QUINN’S MAILBAGTAB tipping expert Nick Quinn gives his suggested bets for the main races at Flemington and Doomben.BEST BET: SHIHONKA (Doomben, R7 No.8) VALUE BET: BROADWAYANDFOURTH (Flemington, R9 No.1) LAY OF THE WEEK: WISDOM OF WATER (Doomben, R4 No.1) BAGOT HANDICAP (2800m) – Flemington, R7, 4:20pmSmokin’ Romans is having a tremendous campaign and comes into this after a strong win in the Pakenham Cup. The Ciaron Maher and David Eustace team are masters at keeping their stayers ticking over and holding their form.Smokin’ Romans has finished in the top two at his past seven starts and shapes as the one to beat here. With Jamie Kah in the saddle $2.30 looks a decent quote. Skelm was dominant when returning to the winners’ list last start at Flemington over 2600m and should run the trip. High Emocean was runner-up as a firm favourite behind Skelm last start and again must be included in the multiples. Good Idea won the 2021 Adelaide Cup over 3200m and returned to form last start when second to Smokin Romans in the Pakenham Cup. THE TIP: SMOKIN’ ROMANS win.CHESTER MANIFOLD STAKES (1400m) – Flemington, R8, 5pmFormer American mare Lighthouse made it a perfect three from three in Australia with a dominant win at Flemington last start and again shapes as the one to beat. Lighthouse has already firmed from $2.80 into $2.60 and looks one of the better bets on an open card at headquarters. Not To Be Mist is another last-start Flemington winner after she caused an upset nailing It’sourtime late while there has been early support for another last start Flemington winner Second Slip who has been backed from $7.50 into $7. Lighthouse though will be worth sticking with as she races through the grades and is the one to beat. THE TIP: LIGHTHOUSE win.SANTA ANA LANE SPRINT (1200m) – Flemington, R9, 5.40pmI fancy topweight Broadwayandfourth each-way here.She worked home well at big odds when resuming at Pakenham and steps up to 1200m where she has featured in the placings five times from 11 attempts. On a day at Headquarters where most races only have a few winning chances, race nine has many that you can make a case for. Pioneer River followed some eye-catching runs with a strong win at Flemington last start and is a deserving favourite while there has been early specking Capriccio backed from $7.50 into $7. THE TIP: BROADWAYANDFOURTH each-way.VO ROGUE PLATE (1350m) – Doomben, R7, 3.48pmExciting filly Shihonka is shooting for a third straight win and dominates the market at $2. The Waterhouse-Bott trained daughter of Stroak has won her past two outings at Rosehill and again looks hard to beat.The Chris Waller-trained Starman also resumed from a spell by winning at Rosehill before finishing out of the money at Randwick but shapes as the main danger. One for the multiples could be Miss Hipster who is racing better than her recent form suggests. THE TIP: SHIHONKA win.



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